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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
56.38% ( 0.01) | 21.86% ( -0) | 21.76% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.22% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% ( -0) | 40.39% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% | 62.76% ( -0) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.81% ( 0) | 14.19% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.1% ( 0.01) | 41.9% ( -0.01) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( -0.01) | 32.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( -0.01) | 68.63% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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