Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Nuremberg.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.
