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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
New England Revolution
Philadelphia
2 - 1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bou (61')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

Expect the Revs to be in a foul mood after the way they lost their previous encounter, though the Union are well-equipped to handle their dangerous attacking players as they are perhaps the most structurally sound team in the league and, at the moment, are firing on all cylinders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
53.76% (-0.685 -0.68) 23.5% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 22.73% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 54% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.249 0.25)46.61% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.235 0.23)68.88% (-0.238 -0.24)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.158 -0.16)17.26% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.272 -0.27)47.58% (0.267 0.27)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (0.685 0.69)34.74% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (0.719 0.72)71.47% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.76%
    New England Revolution 22.73%
    Draw 23.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.73%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
New England Revolution
15.4%
26
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Nov 25, 2020 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati139312114730
2Nashville SCNashville147431991025
3New England RevolutionNew England137331914524
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta146442824422
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia136342014621
6DC United145451916319
7Orlando City135441616019
8Columbus Crew135352517818
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC145361925-618
10New York City FCNY City134451516-116
11New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls143741012-216
12Chicago Fire133641821-315
13Inter MiamiInter Miami135081417-315
14CF MontrealMontreal135081222-1015
15Toronto142751318-513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
2St Louis City1372426131323
3Seattle SoundersSeattle147252013723
4Dallas146531613323
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135351718-118
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd135351214-218
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver134541814417
8Portland TimbersPortland144461820-216
9Austin FCAustin134451318-516
10Houston DynamoHouston124351111015
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134361322-915
12Colorado RapidsColorado142661221-912
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas14248921-1210
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy132381023-139

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