Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 87.94%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 4-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.1%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.