Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
