Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.