Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
