Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Vynnyky win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Vynnyky win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.