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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
44.84% ( 0.21) | 23.92% ( 0.29) | 31.24% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( -1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.99% ( -1.62) | 42% ( 1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.59% ( -1.65) | 64.41% ( 1.65) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% ( -0.56) | 18.96% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% ( -0.95) | 50.49% ( 0.95) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( -1.1) | 25.89% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% ( -1.51) | 60.87% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.34% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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