Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Leixoes win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.