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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Spezia Calcio logo
Roma
2 - 1
Spezia
Zalewski (43'), Dybala (90' pen.)
Pellegrini (44'), Dybala (78')
Foti (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nikolaou (6')
Esposito (14'), Nikolaou (58'), Zoet (66'), Amian (76'), Semplici (79+79'), Gyasi (86'), Wisniewski (90+7'), Shomurodov (90+12')
Amian (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Roma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 31 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spezia 0-4 Torino
Saturday, May 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Spezia

Despite Roma's heartache in midweek, Mourinho should be able to get his players motivated for one last push in what could be his late game in charge. Spezia's form has been woeful in 2023, and they are lucky that Verona's has been similarly poor, with a relegation playout looking likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia has a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Spezia win it is 0-1 (4.78%).

Result
RomaDrawSpezia
65.91% (1.464 1.46) 20.27% (-0.588 -0.59) 13.82% (-0.88 -0.88)
Both teams to score 47.55% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.678 0.68)46.65% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.633 0.63)68.92% (-0.639 -0.64)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69% (0.648 0.65)13.3% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.86% (1.298 1.3)40.14% (-1.303 -1.3)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.85% (-0.866 -0.87)45.15% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.698 -0.7)81.05% (0.69200000000001 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Roma 65.91%
    Spezia 13.82%
    Draw 20.27%
RomaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.22% (0.24 0.24)
1-0 @ 12.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.22% (0.35 0.35)
3-1 @ 6.53% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 4.14% (0.271 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.146 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 65.91%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.27%
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.82%

How you voted: Roma vs Spezia

Roma
74.0%
Draw
16.9%
Spezia
9.1%
77
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 5pm
gameweek 19
Spezia
0-2
Roma
El Shaarawy (45'), Abraham (49')
Feb 27, 2022 5.05pm
gameweek 27
Spezia
0-1
Roma

Agudelo (30'), Amian (39'), Kiwior (86'), Maggiore (90+7')
Amian (45')
Abraham (90+9' pen.)
Mancini (45+3'), Kumbulla (64'), Zaniolo (90+5')
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Spezia
Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')

Gyasi (90+2')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Spezia
2-2
Roma
Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
gameweek 19
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli38286477284990
2Lazio38228860303074
3Inter Milan382331271422972
4AC Milan382010864432170
5Atalanta BCAtalanta381971266481864
6Roma381891150381263
7Juventus382261056332362
8Fiorentina3815111253431056
9Bologna381412125349454
10Torino381411134241153
11Monza381410144852-452
12Udinese381113144748-146
13SassuoloSassuolo38129174761-1445
14Empoli381013153749-1243
15Salernitana38915144862-1442
16Lecce38812183346-1336
17SpeziaSpezia38613193162-3131
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38710213159-2831
19Cremonese38512213669-3327
RSampdoria38310252471-4719

Real Madrid Until The End
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