Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia has a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Spezia win it is 0-1 (4.78%).
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
65.91% ( 1.46) | 20.27% ( -0.59) | 13.82% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 47.55% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.34% ( 0.68) | 46.65% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( 0.63) | 68.92% ( -0.64) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.69% ( 0.65) | 13.3% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.86% ( 1.3) | 40.14% ( -1.3) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.85% ( -0.87) | 45.15% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.94% ( -0.7) | 81.05% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.91% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.27% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
> Serie A Full Table |