Even if Simone Inzaghi makes wholesale changes to his lineup, Sassuolo's record on the road is such that their hosts should still expect to secure victory. With competition for places now at its peak within a fit and firing Inter squad, they can look to numerous sources for attacking inspiration.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
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