Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
27.15% | 26.71% | 46.14% |
Both teams to score 48.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.13% | 55.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.02% | 76.99% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% | 35.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.25% | 72.75% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% | 24.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% | 58.5% |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.15% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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