Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes
2 - 1
Maritimo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
| 50.42% | 26.52% | 23.06% |
| Both teams to score 45.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
