Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
17.81% | 23.78% | 58.41% |
Both teams to score 45.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% | 53.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% | 75.24% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.95% | 44.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.83% | 80.16% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.81% | 18.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.81% | 49.18% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.81% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 13.65% 0-2 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-4 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-5 @ 0.96% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |