The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Porto had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 36.46% | 26.39% | 37.16% |
| Both teams to score 52.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
