Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
67.96% | 19.78% | 12.26% |
Both teams to score 44.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.93% | 48.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.76% | 70.23% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.87% | 13.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.2% | 39.79% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.48% | 48.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.39% | 83.61% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 13.13% 1-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 6.43% 4-0 @ 4.51% 4-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.66% Total : 67.96% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.78% | 0-1 @ 4.61% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 6 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 26 |
3 | Braga | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 25 |
4 | Casa Pia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 19 |
8 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 19 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Vizela | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 2 |
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