Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 24.48% and a draw has a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.59%).
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
54.94% ( 0.02) | 20.58% ( 0) | 24.48% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.64% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.03% ( -0.04) | 30.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.65% ( -0.05) | 52.35% ( 0.05) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.49% ( -0.01) | 11.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.62% ( -0.02) | 36.38% ( 0.02) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.31% ( -0.04) | 24.69% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( -0.05) | 59.22% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.57% 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 64 |
2 | Liverpool | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 26 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 63 | 28 | 35 | 63 |
4 | Aston Villa | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 56 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 53 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 47 |
7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 44 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 42 |
9 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 41 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 40 |
11 | Chelsea | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Fulham | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
13 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 35 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 29 |
15 | Brentford | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 26 |
16 | Everton | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
17 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 22 |
18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 21 |
19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 74 | -50 | 14 |
> Premier League Full Table |