Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
56.06% ( -0.02) | 23.46% ( 0.01) | 20.48% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( -0.02) | 49.03% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( -0.02) | 71.11% ( 0.01) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.68% ( -0.01) | 17.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.32% ( -0.02) | 47.67% ( 0.02) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( -0) | 38.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% | 75.06% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.04% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
> Premier League Full Table |