Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match.