MX23RW : Tuesday, March 28 06:06:15| >> :600:12579322:12579322:
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Georgia and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Georgia 2-1 Bulgaria

After such a disappointing result earlier this week, you have to expect a response from Bulgaria. However, that is not to say that it will be enough, and our full backing goes to Georgia who are starting to look like they could be a force when it comes to qualification for Euro 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
GeorgiaDrawBulgaria
48.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 27.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 23.35% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.61% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)61.89% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.34% (0.045999999999999 0.05)81.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.42% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (0.07 0.07)42.75% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (0.058 0.06)79.08% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Georgia 48.86%
    Bulgaria 23.35%
    Draw 27.76%
GeorgiaDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 14.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 10.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 23.35%

How you voted: Georgia vs Bulgaria

Georgia
80.0%
Draw
11.4%
Bulgaria
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 7.45pm
League C4
Bulgaria
2-5
Georgia
Iliev (50'), Avramov Stefanov (83')
Despodov (31'), Hristov (90+7')
Davitashvili (4'), Hristov (31' og.), Zivzivadze (52'), Kvaratskhelia (58' pen.), Qazaishvili (69')
Sep 8, 2021 5.30pm
Bulgaria
4-1
Georgia
Nedelev (20'), Iliev (34' pen.), Delev (44'), Hristov (53')
Tsonev (29'), Bozhikov (36'), Delev (57')
Davitashvili (77')
Kakabadze (34'), Daushvili (58'), Lochoshvili (73')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28223366264069
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs28154952401249
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle261211339192047
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton25126746311542
8Brentford27101254334942
9Fulham27116103837139
10Chelsea2710892928138
11Aston Villa27115113539-438
12Crystal Palace2869132238-1627
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2876152241-1927
14Leeds UnitedLeeds2768133544-926
15Everton2868142240-1826
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2768132249-2726
17Leicester CityLeicester2774163847-925
18West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
19Bournemouth2766152554-2924
20Southampton2865172346-2323

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