Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
46.86% ( 2.48) | 24.86% ( -0.15) | 28.28% ( -2.33) |
Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% ( -0.59) | 47.79% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% ( -0.55) | 69.97% ( 0.54) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( 0.85) | 20.44% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% ( 1.33) | 52.89% ( -1.33) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% ( -1.94) | 30.81% ( 1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% ( -2.35) | 67.08% ( 2.35) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.86% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
> Full Version |