Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.