Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
35.22% | 25.27% | 39.51% |
Both teams to score 56.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% | 47.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% | 69.28% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% | 60.89% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% | 23.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% | 57.63% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.38% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |