Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
