Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
34.85% ( -0.41) | 25.73% ( 0.06) | 39.41% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% ( -0.34) | 49.14% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( -0.31) | 71.21% ( 0.31) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% ( -0.41) | 27.12% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.49% ( -0.54) | 62.51% ( 0.53) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% ( 0.03) | 24.56% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% ( 0.04) | 59.05% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |