Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lille |
36.64% ( 0.35) | 26.25% ( 0.11) | 37.11% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% ( -0.46) | 51.25% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.4) | 73.08% ( 0.4) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( -0.01) | 27.07% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.56% ( -0.01) | 62.44% ( 0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% ( -0.48) | 26.79% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.92% ( -0.63) | 62.08% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |