Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
49.14% | 24.47% | 26.4% |
Both teams to score 54.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% | 47.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% | 69.63% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.66% | 19.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% | 32.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% | 68.52% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.05% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Brest | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
2 | Nice | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
10 | Lille | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
11 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
12 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Lens | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Lorient | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Lyon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
18 | Clermont | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |