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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
56.6% ( -0.01) | 23.45% | 19.94% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.23% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.33% ( 0.02) | 49.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.31% ( 0.01) | 71.68% ( -0.01) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.65% ( 0) | 17.35% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.26% ( 0) | 47.73% |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.77% ( 0.02) | 39.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.06% ( 0.02) | 75.94% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.71% 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.6% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 39 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 31 | 83 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 74 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 74 | 46 | 28 | 71 |
5 | Barnsley | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 71 |
6 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 62 | 52 | 10 | 63 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 61 |
8 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 61 |
9 | Blackpool | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 60 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 58 |
11 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 50 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 50 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 50 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 47 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 45 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 13 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 44 |
18 | Reading | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 42 |
19 | Burton Albion | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 39 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 39 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 35 |
22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
23 | Port Vale | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 33 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |