MX23RW : Monday, May 8 00:41:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
Ipswich logo
Lincoln City
MK Dons
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Burton Albion
Charlton
3 - 2
Burton Albion
Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Payne (87'), Maynard-Brewer (90+7')
Payne (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Moon (74')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides have improved considerably in recent weeks, with Burton looking like a much better team in the second half of the season, and they will both have aims of competing at the top end of the table next season. Charlton have been solid at home of late, having not lost since a 1-0 defeat against promotion-chasing Sheffield Wednesday in February, while Burton won 3-2 away at Port vale in their last away trip, so the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
55.25% (-0.419 -0.42) 22.43% (0.161 0.16) 22.32% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (-0.427 -0.43)42.31% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.43 -0.43)64.71% (0.428 0.43)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.285 -0.28)15.21% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.538 -0.54)43.85% (0.536 0.54)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 55.25%
    Burton Albion 22.32%
    Draw 22.43%
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 55.25%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Charlton vs Burton Albion

Charlton Athletic
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Burton Albion
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Burton Albion
4-2
Charlton
Akins (9'), Powell (39'), Hughes (53'), Vernam (76')
Akins (64')
Smyth (42'), Aneke (67')
Gunter (30'), Gilbey (61'), Watson (65'), Maatsen (80'), Aneke (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!