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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cambridge United
Bolton
1 - 1
Cambridge
John (67')
Johnston (56'), Bradley (71'), Mbete (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+5')
Smith (51')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cambridge United

Despite not being free-scoring on home turf, Bolton have the meanest defence in the third tier, and that stinginess should put them in good stead against a side that have netted 13 goals in 19 away League Two fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
65.51% (-0.129 -0.13) 20.45% (-0.124 -0.12) 14.04% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 47.56% (1.034 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (1.037 1.04)46.95% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.96 0.96)69.2% (-0.959 -0.96)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.28800000000001 0.29)13.51% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (0.57 0.57)40.56% (-0.569 -0.57)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (1.016 1.02)45% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (0.802 0.8)80.93% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 65.5%
    Cambridge United 14.04%
    Draw 20.45%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.5%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.45%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cambridge

Bolton Wanderers
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
Bolton
Tracey (16')
Iredale (17'), Digby (38'), Hoolahan (54'), O'Neil (73')

Williams (13'), Sarcevic (29'), Santos (88')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Bolton
2-1
Cambridge
Doyle (38'), Sarcevic (43')
Lee (90+4')
Knoyle (80')
Mullin (49'), Ironside (58'), Drysdale (59')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Bolton
Crellin (73' og.)
Iredale (90+4')
Sarcevic (82')
Delaney (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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