Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
18.23% ( 0.09) | 23.66% ( 0.22) | 58.11% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.27% ( -0.71) | 52.73% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.63% ( -0.61) | 74.36% ( 0.6) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.06% ( -0.3) | 42.94% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.76% ( -0.26) | 79.24% ( 0.25) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( -0.38) | 17.92% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.27% ( -0.65) | 48.72% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.23% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |