Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
40.02% | 27.33% | 32.66% |
Both teams to score 49.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% | 56.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% | 77.13% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% | 27.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% | 62.89% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% | 31.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% | 68.4% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 62 |
5 | Villarreal | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 57 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 52 |
7 | GironaGirona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 48 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 47 |
9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 46 |
11 | Sevilla | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
15 | Almeria | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 36 |
16 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 35 |
18 | Getafe | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 34 |
19 | Espanyol | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 31 |
R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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