Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.