MX23RW : Saturday, October 8 20:44:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aug 7, 2022 at 11am UK at Tosu Stadium
Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Jubilo Iwata
Miyashiro (43'), Kakita (85')
Naganuma (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 30 at 10.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
47.33% (-0.681 -0.68) 27.25% (0.133 0.13) 25.42% (0.546 0.55)
Both teams to score 45.76% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.19% (-0.108 -0.11)58.81% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)79.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.373 -0.37)24.9% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.521 -0.52)59.53% (0.52 0.52)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (0.433 0.43)39.06% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.402 0.4)75.78% (-0.405 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.33%
    Jubilo Iwata 25.42%
    Draw 27.25%
Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.144 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 25.42%

Head to Head
Jun 18, 2022 10am
Jubilo Iwata
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Gonzalez (8', 13'), Kanuma (27')
Gonzalez (47')
Miyashiro (53')
Tashiro (69')
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