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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for NEC had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
23.83% | 22.56% | 53.61% |
Both teams to score 58.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% | 41.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% | 63.62% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% | 30.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% | 67.09% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.62% | 15.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.82% | 44.18% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.15% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.28% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.83% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.86% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 32 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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