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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Groningen |
44.85% | 26.51% | 28.64% |
Both teams to score 50.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.68% | 54.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% | 75.71% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% | 24.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% | 58.42% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% | 33.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% | 70.63% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 38 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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