Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
