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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Birmingham logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Birmingham

Weimann (85')
Kipre (34'), Corberan (34'), Furlong (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (33'), Bielik (55'), Dozzell (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Birmingham City

Despite losing to Wolves last time out, West Brom showed signs of promise against their Premier League visitors and will be desperate to get back to winning ways this weekend. Birmingham could have a different look to them with a number of January signings in line for their full debuts, and we feel that Blues will be able to earn a point at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
60.03% (-0.382 -0.38) 21.8% (0.194 0.19) 18.17% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.544 -0.54)45.24% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.521 -0.52)67.58% (0.518 0.52)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.303 -0.3)14.65% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.578 -0.58)42.79% (0.574 0.57)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (-0.105 -0.1)38.62% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)75.36% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 60.02%
    Birmingham City 18.17%
    Draw 21.79%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: West Brom vs Birmingham

West Bromwich Albion
44.0%
Draw
48.0%
Birmingham City
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Birmingham
3-1
West Brom
Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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