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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Swansea City |
23.52% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( -0.15) | 51.43% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.85% ( 0.54) | 52.15% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.13% ( 0.47) | 73.86% ( -0.47) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.91% ( 0.27) | 37.08% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.13% ( 0.27) | 73.87% ( -0.27) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.72% ( 0.29) | 20.27% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.37% ( 0.46) | 52.63% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.52% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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