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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Middlesbrough logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Plymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Middlesbrough

With Plymouth having impressed at home, they will back themselves to get the better of their opponents who may be fatigued. Nevertheless, we feel that Boro's superior quality will ultimately shine through, potentially during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
22.17% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20.89% (-0.087 -0.09) 56.93% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.72% (0.434 0.43)35.27% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.7% (0.482 0.48)57.29% (-0.486 -0.49)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.26000000000001 0.26)28.9% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (0.322 0.32)64.77% (-0.327 -0.33)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (0.15599999999999 0.16)12.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (0.334 0.33)38.16% (-0.338 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 22.17%
    Middlesbrough 56.93%
    Draw 20.89%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 22.17%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.93%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Middlesbrough

Plymouth Argyle
45.5%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
Oct 31, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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