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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2024 at 12pm UK
Elland Road
Preston North End logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Preston

James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Preston North End

While Preston have the capabilities to cause a surprise at Elland Road, it seems unlikely based on recent form. Leeds are back to building up a head of steam and we are predicting that a fourth successive 3-0 victory will be posted on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
72.92% (-0.301 -0.3) 16.9% (0.235 0.23) 10.18% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-0.579 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (-0.897 -0.9)40.91% (0.901 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (-0.923 -0.92)63.3% (0.926 0.93)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.2% (-0.30199999999999 -0.3)9.79% (0.3049 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.45% (-0.711 -0.71)32.55% (0.713 0.71)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (-0.464 -0.46)47.7% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (-0.345 -0.34)83.01% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.91%
    Preston North End 10.18%
    Draw 16.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 12.6% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 9.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 72.91%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 16.9%
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.18%

How you voted: Leeds vs Preston

Leeds United
84.4%
Draw
9.4%
Preston North End
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Preston
Cooper (37'), Roberts (74', 82')
Alioski (30')

Browne (26'), Johnson (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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