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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 81.17%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.26%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
81.17% ( -0.79) | 12.4% ( 0.46) | 6.42% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 46.36% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.56% ( -0.96) | 32.43% ( 0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.93% ( -1.12) | 54.07% ( 1.12) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.92% ( -0.34) | 6.08% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.9% ( -0.95) | 23.09% ( 0.95) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.36% ( 0.26) | 50.64% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.9% ( 0.17) | 85.1% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 81.16% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.67% Total : 12.4% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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