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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
58.85% ( 1.49) | 21.18% ( -0.02) | 19.97% ( -1.47) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -2.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( -1.97) | 39.68% ( 1.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( -2.07) | 62.03% ( 2.07) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( -0.2) | 13.2% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% ( -0.4) | 39.93% ( 0.39) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( -2.52) | 33.44% ( 2.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( -2.85) | 70.07% ( 2.85) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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