Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 0-1 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.