Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Platense and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
