Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 35.26%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.96%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (13.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
