Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.84% | 23.69% | 32.47% |
Both teams to score 61.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.59% | 40.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% | 62.78% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.26% | 18.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.88% | 50.12% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% | 24.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% | 58.77% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.04% 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.47% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 16 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
4 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
5 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
8 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
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