Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greuther Furth in this match.
