Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.